August, 2011:
TIME TO QUIT? ASSESSING INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT CLAIMS AGAINST PLAIN TOBACCO PACKAGING IN AUSTRALIA*
Download PDF : SSRN-id1906560
Opportunities and risks of the proposed FCTC protocol on illicit trade
ABSTRACTIllicit trade in tobacco products presents a threat to publichealth because it undermines the use of tax and pricepolicies, which are among the most effective mechanismsfor reducing tobacco consumption. Parties to the WHOFramework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) are inthe final stages of negotiating a protocol aimed atstrengthening international cooperation in the fightagainst illicit tobacco trade. While an effective multilateralresponse to illicit tobacco trade would make a significantcontribution to global tobacco control, achieving thisthrough the FCTC forum is challenging. First, while illicittobacco trade is a health problem, the expertise,experience and capacity needed to combat illicit trade arenot traditionally found in health agencies. Thedevelopment of links with other agencies, both domesticand international, is critical to ensure both an effectiveresponse and an efficient use of limited governmental andnon-governmental resources. Second, in many parts ofthe world, the tobacco industry cooperates closely withgovernments in the combating of illicit trade. Thiscooperation poses risks for tobacco control, particularly ifrelationships and norms of cooperation spill over intoother areas of FCTC implementation. An examination ofthe industry’s positioning suggests that it sees anopportunity to portray itself as ‘legitimate’ and‘responsible’, a friend of governments, and a way tointegrate itself into FCTC processes. This paper makessuggestions for moving forward in this challenging areatowards ensuring that the approach taken actuallyreduces illicit tobacco trade, strengthens tobacco taxpolicies and does not operate to undermine the FCTC.
Download PDF : tobaccocontrol-2011-050122 full
Tobacco boss’s struggle with arithmetic
http://media.crikey.com.au/dm/newsletter/dailymail_709ae35410de72443e4a61ad74c80408.html
Last week, David Crow, the CEO of British American Tobacco Australia, gave evidence to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Health and Ageing’s hearings into the Tobacco Plain Packaging Bill 2011.
Crow continued to push the argument that the tobacco industry has ushered into the front line of its opposition to plain packaging legislation: that plain packs will cause a deluge of illicit, black-market tobacco to flood the market.
Crow referred to the tobacco industry-commissioned Deloitte report, at one point saying: “It is robust research. It is based on thousands of interviews of consumers done in a very thorough way by Roy Morgan Research, who work with Deloitte. The aim was to estimate — and you will never get a real answer — the size. That size has been consistent over the past 18 months. The last report found that about 15.6% of the industry is illicit. We say one in five; one in 5½ cigarettes smoked in this country is illicit.”
You do, eh, Dave?
There are a couple of small problems with what Crow told the committee. He presumably has read the Deloitte report, which states on page 20 “This initial sample comprised of 9206 identified people. However after allowing for natural sample attrition, 949 respondents completed the survey.”
So 949 smokers in five capital cities, not “thousands”, answered questions about whether they believed they had used illegal tobacco (loose chop-chop, counterfeit or duty not paid). When it comes to counterfeit or duty not paid packs, how would they actually know?
Then there’s the small matter of Crow’s arithmetical, or is it his rhetorical ability … 15.6% is not one in five (that’s what 20% is Dave!) or one in 5½ cigarettes. It is one in 6.41, which is “less than one in 6″. So what’s the difference between one in five and one in six? Not much you ask? But when you’re talking about the number of cigarettes involved, this means a difference of 741.69 tonnes of tobacco, using the Deloitte data.
Depending on what assumptions are made about the average weight of a cigarette (0.75-1grm) this translates to between about a mere 750m and 900m cigarettes and roll-your-own cigarette equivalents.
Crow would have been aware that in the week before he gave evidence, the Australian Institute of Health and Welfarepublished its latest estimate how much illicit tobacco is used by smokers in Australia. Surveying 26,648 people across Australia, of whom 15.1% were daily smokers (and with 17% smoking at all — 4530 smokers — now that’s thousands!), the AIHW found about 1.5% of Australian smokers regularly smoked unbranded tobacco in 2010 — see table 3.11 p39.
Predictably, Crow did not refer to this substantially lower estimate.
Time to Quit? Assessing International Investment Claims Against Plain Tobacco Packaging in Australia
Tania S. Voon
Melbourne Law School
Andrew D. Mitchell
Melbourne Law School; Georgetown University Law Center
August 11, 2011
Abstract:
The Australian federal government recently introduced into Parliament legislation mandating the plain packaging of all tobacco products. Tobacco companies and others have raised various legal concerns with this tobacco control scheme, both at a domestic level in relation to constitutional and intellectual property law, and at an international level in relation to international economic law. Some Members of the World Trade Organization (‘WTO’) have asked questions about the scheme in the WTO Committee on Technical Barriers to Trade and the Council for Trade-Related Intellectual Property Rights. In addition, Philip Morris (Asia) Limited has given notice of an investor-State dispute settlement claim against Australia regarding plain packaging pursuant to the Hong Kong – Australia Bilateral Investment Treaty. This article considers the merits of that claim as well as certain related procedural issues. It also compares Australia’s investment obligations with respect to plain packaging under the Australia – United States Free Trade Agreement, as some allegations have been made that plain packaging is inconsistent with those obligations.
IV CONCLUSION
Several impediments exist to PMA’s claim, including the possibility that it has been brought prematurely, the remaining chance (against that background) for Australia and Hong Kong to modify or re-interpret the terms of the Hong Kong – Australia BIT, and the potential difficulties of enforcing an adverse arbitral award against Australia due to concerns of public policy and sovereign immunity. More importantly, most of PMA’s substantive claims under the Hong Kong – Australia BIT appear weak, in particular as regards fair and equitable treatment, full protection and security, unreasonable impairment, and the umbrella clause. PMA may have stronger arguments in relation to Australia’s obligation not to engage in expropriation, but a number of relevant factors still weigh in favour of Australia’s plain packaging measure as a legitimate noncompensable health regulation rather than a compensable expropriation. The outcome of that claim is likely to depend on the final form of the legislation that is enacted and implemented, as well as the evidence brought to bear by both sides and the arbitrators selected to make the decision. In the meantime, the AUSFTA provides a contrasting case study demonstrating the kind of clarifications that Australia, Hong Kong and other countries may wish to consider adding to their more traditional investment protection agreements if they wish to ensure control over their sovereign regulatory frameworks for purposes such as health and the environment. The AUSFTA also offers an example of excluding ISDS, which Australia is contemplating on a broader scale and which may be desirable for a number of countries.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 35
Keywords: Investment, international law, tobacco, cigarettes, bilateral investment treaty, international dispute settlement
JEL Classifications: K33, F21, L66
Working Paper Series
Date posted: August 11, 2011
Suggested Citation
Voon, Tania S. and Mitchell, Andrew D., Time to Quit? Assessing International Investment Claims Against Plain Tobacco Packaging in Australia (August 11, 2011). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1906560
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Contact Information
Tania Voon (Contact Author)Melbourne Law School ( email ) University of Melbourne |
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Andrew D. MitchellMelbourne Law School ( email ) The University of Melbourne HOME PAGE: http://www.law.unimelb.edu.au/staff/Andrew%20Mitchell |
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| Georgetown University Law Center ( email )
600 New Jersey Avenue, NW |
What’s that going up in smoke?
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2011-08/11/content_13089542.htm
Facing greater restrictions in the United States and other industrialized countries, transnational tobacco companies have intensified the marketing of their products in developing countries, particularly among women and adolescents.
For the past several years, multinationals such as Philip Morris, RJ Reynolds and British-American Tobacco have been expanding rapidly in Eastern Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America.
While the percentage of smokers in some industrialized countries is falling by about 1 percent a year, in developing countries it is increasing by about 3 percent a year. It is estimated that if this trend continues for the next 30 years, smoking-related diseases will kill up to 7 million people a year in developing countries.
Tobacco-related deaths can only add to the inequities in health care of ethnic and poor populations. According to data from the Bureau of Census, US Department of Commerce, the number of Latino smoking youth in the United States will increase three times by 2020.
Since the early 1980s, US trade officials, with the help of the Office of the US Trade Representative, have led a sustained campaign to open markets in Asian countries and regions such as Japan, South Korea and Thailand. Their move has prompted the Asia Pacific Association for the Control of Tobacco to protest strongly against the “invasion of their countries” by US companies, which especially target Asian women and children. The association has complained against the strong-arm tactics used by US government officials, too.
In fact, a US General Accounting Office report has established that “US policy and programs for assisting the export of tobacco and tobacco products work at cross purposes to US health policy initiatives, both domestically and internationally”.
Several studies have shown that in the poorest households in developing countries, 10 percent or more of the total household expenditure is on tobacco. As a result, there is less money to spend on necessities such as food, education and health care. This increases malnutrition, illiteracy and the chances of premature death.
In China, tobacco companies have been moving steadily inland with intense promotional campaigns. It is estimated that more than 350 million of the world’s 1.71 billion smokers are in China, where lung cancer cases have been increasing by 4.75 percent a year.
The Chinese government is facing a dilemma in promoting anti-tobacco policies, because the earnings of State-run monopoly tobacco companies form a good part of its revenue. Research scholars with the School of Public Health at the University of California, however, say that increasing tobacco tax by 15 US cents (about 1 yuan) per cigarette pack could save more than 13 million lives and generate $9.5 billion in revenue for the Chinese government.
Lured by financial gains from growing tobacco, millions of hectares in China are under tobacco cultivation. Gains from the sale of tobacco may be short term, because the costs of treating lung cancer and other tobacco-related diseases far exceed the profits. According to experts, the extra cost worldwide could be up to $200 billion a year, one-third of which is incurred by developing countries.
While anti-smoking efforts gather momentum in the US, they are far less effective in developing countries. Such countries’ policies will not be as effective as they should be unless transnational tobacco companies are made to curtail their aggressive advertisements.
Many countries in Asia and Latin America are conducting health-education campaigns and have passed legislation to control smoking. Up to now, several countries across the world have enacted legislation to curb tobacco consumption. Although generally such legislation has been passed at the national level, in the US, Canada and several countries in Latin America and the Caribbean, provinces or local bodies are enacting these laws.
Despite increasing condemnation by public health officials and the World Health Organization, tobacco companies, especially multinationals, continue their indiscriminate and aggressive promotions in developing countries at the cost of human lives. As things stand now, only a multidisciplinary strategy that includes education, taxation, legislation and regulation of trade practices of transnational corporations can control this pandemic.
The author is an international public health consultant.
Smoking warnings to change
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2011-08/11/content_13089389.htm
BEIJING – Next year will bring a doubling in the size of the words that appear on cigarette packages to warn consumers of the dangers of smoking.
Starting in April 2012, cigarettes produced and sold in China will bear a new warning label containing letters that will be no less than 4 millimeters in height. That will be twice the size of the current minimum, which stipulates that the letters be at least 2 mm from bottom to top, according to a notice written by the China National Tobacco Corp and published on the State Tobacco Monopoly Administration’s website.
Despite the intentions, many tobacco-control experts said the step is “minor” and that it fails to deal with the chief issue.
“There is no use in making the font size even 100 times bigger if the warning is pointless,” said Wu Yiqun, deputy director of the ThinkTank Research Center for Health Development, a Beijing-based non-governmental organization that advocates for the adoption of stronger smoking-control measures.
Both Wu and Yang Gonghuan, director of the tobacco control office of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said the warning that now appears on cigarette packs is too weak. It says: “Smoking is harmful to your health. Quitting early is good for your health.”
“The package should inform consumers of the dangers of smoking in accordance with requirements adopted by the World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. (It should say that) smoking causes lung cancer, coronary disease and makes people grow old,” Yang said.
China decided in 2005 to ratify the convention, which also requires that tobacco warnings cover a third of the surface of cigarette packs.
“Even if the size of the words is doubled, it still doesn’t meet those standards,” Yang said. “The Chinese practice is to draw a line to demarcate a third of a cigarette package, where the warning should be, but the words put on it are still very small.”
Experts said graphic health warnings could be printed on cigarette packs and used as a “scientific, direct and shocking” deterrent to smoking.Throughout the world, more than 1 billion people in 19 countries live under laws that require the packaging of various types of tobacco products to bear large, graphic health warnings. They often show pictures of black lungs and festering mouth sores, according to the World Health Organization.
China, though, is excluded from those rules.
Both Wu and Yang said the fundamental barrier to better control of tobacco use in the country is the fact that the China National Tobacco Corp, the country’s largest cigarette-maker, is a subsidiary of the State Tobacco Monopoly Administration, China’s tobacco regulatory body.
Wu said the tobacco control office has conducted surveys in recent years in which 90 percent of the respondents said graphic warnings would help them come to the grips with the thought that they should quit smoking.”But the national tobacco administrator also sells cigarettes and wouldn’t do something that would harm its sales,” Wu said.
Both Wu and Yang said the Ministry of Health should take a lead in the campaign against smoking and the government should place more of a priority on protecting people’s health than on economic interests.
“On the cigarette packaging of more than 40 countries, there are government warning that say things like ’85 percent of lung cancer victims smoked’,” Wu said.
China, home to more than 300 million smokers, contains the largest population of smokers in the world. Official statistics show that 1.2 million Chinese residents die of smoking-related diseases every year.
Women smokers are at greater risk of heart disease than men
Independent.co.uk
Half of all smokers die from tobacco-related conditions – 100,000 a year in the UK, where 21 per cent of women and 22 per cent of men smoke
By Nina Lakhani
Thursday, 11 August 2011
Female smokers are significantly more likely to suffer heart disease than men. The risk of developing coronary heart disease – Britain’s biggest killer – is 25 per cent higher for women, despite the fact they generally smoke fewer cigarettes than men, according to research published in The Lancet.
Smoking was traditionally a male activity but a fifth of the world’s smokers – 220 million people – are now women. The tobacco industry spends millions of pounds every year targeting women by purporting links between cigarettes and slimness through the design of cigarettes and packaging. This comprehensive research, a meta-analysis of four million people from 86 studies, will add pressure on the Government to introduce plain packaging which contains only health warnings.
Previous research has shown that female smokers are twice as likely to develop lung cancer as men.
Amanda Sanford, from Action on Smoking and Health, said: “This study confirms that women are more susceptible to the health risks posed by smoking, even though research has traditionally focused on men. We have to stop the tobacco industry from blatantly targeting women with misleading myths about the links between smoking and being slim.”
The British Heart Foundation said the findings were “alarming” as it seemed to show that women are biologically more susceptible to the dangers of smoking and passive smoking at a time when tobacco companies are increasingly targeting women with slim brands and slick packaging.
Half of all smokers will die from tobacco-related conditions such as heart disease and lung cancer. In the UK, where 21 per cent of women and 22 per cent of men smoke, around 100,000 people die every year from tobacco-related diseases.
The risk of death from coronary heart disease to smokers decreases rapidly once they stop, but research shows that women find it much harder to quit than men. Smoking rates are also increasing more rapidly among women in developing countries where advertising and sales regulations are more lax.
Women metabolise nicotine more quickly than men and cigarette smoke appears to be more toxic for women, but the biological differences between the sexes needs further examination, according to The Lancet.
The researchers, from the University of Minnesota and Johns Hopkins University, warn that the risk to women could actually be much higher as they tend to smoke fewer cigarettes per day. In many countries the smoking habit started later in women so the full impact is not yet known.
Dr Rachel Huxley and Dr Mark Woodward conclude: “Present trends in female smoking… suggest that inclusion of a female perspective in tobacco-control policies is crucial.”

